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Prediction for CME (2022-04-26T14:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-04-26T14:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19940/-1 CME Note: The eruption is likely associated with a small filament eruption from the vicinity of AR 2996 (N24W07) which erupts around 2022-04-26T14:24Z as seen in SDO AIA 304 with associated coronal dimming in SDO AIA 193. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-29T10:01Z (-9.0h, +9.0h) Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Prediction Method Note: ************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 714.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 774.794 Acceleration: -1.31244 Duration in seconds: 241726.92 Duration in days: 2.7977652 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -1.31 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 457.5 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 29/04/2022 Time: 10:01 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 51.02 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2022-04-27T07:00Z |
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